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Covid-19 Forecasting Using ARIMA models

Covid-19 short-term forecasting using ARIMA models.

The data are provided by the Italian Civil Protection and can be consulted here: https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19. New results are available from 18.00.

Goals

  • New positives
  • Total positivs
  • intensive care

predictions for the next 7 days.

Orders of ARIMA models

  • New positives: 3, 1, 0
  • Total positivs: 3, 2, 2
  • Intensive care: 1, 2, 0

Next Step

In the next days a webapp live-demo will be available to check the results.

Results

New Positives

New Positives

Total Positives

Total Positives

Intensive Care

Intensive Care