Version 3

In this update, we first extended our model from version 2 to have 'partial-pooling' for lockdown across all countries. This means now we have a global effect of lockdown along with each country having its own different lockdown effect. We also made our code modular, stan code faster (with help from the community) and now we create CSV outputs too for usage.

You can directly get csv files here and new model description [here](You can directly get csv files here and new model description here)

Version 2

In this update we extend our original model to include (a) population saturation effects, (b) prior uncertainty on the infection fatality ratio and (c) a more balanced prior on intervention effects. We also (d) included another3 countries (Greece, the Netherlands and Portugal). The updated technical detail is available here.

You can directly look at our results here

Replication code for "Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries"

This code has all the required scripts and data to reproduce the work done by a team at Imperial College to analyze European COVID-19 data from 11 countries. Read our report, "Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries".