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OGGM standard projections | ||
========================= | ||
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Since OGGM v1.6.1, we provide for a range of climate projections the corresponding global glacier projections. These | ||
simulations are and will be done with the most recent released default version of OGGM. We call these state-of-the-art | ||
simulations our "standard projections". Here we give a brief introduction to the available data and show were you can | ||
find all the details. | ||
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A detailed description of the experimental-setup, information on the data structure, analysis of the data and a `brief comparison to Rounce et al. (2023) together with the corresponding jupyter notebooks are in the `OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files repository <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/tree/main>`_. | ||
These projections use `elevation-band flowlines <https://docs.oggm.org/en/stable/flowlines.html#elevation-bands-flowlines>`_, include the `dynamical spinup <https://docs.oggm.org/en/latest/dynamic-spinup.html>`_, the `new informed 3-step per-glacier geodetic calibration method <https://docs.oggm.org/en/latest/mass-balance-monthly.html>`_, and use the W5E5v2.0 climate dataset `(Lange and others, 2021) <https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.342217>`_ for calibration and a border of 160. | ||
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We have driven OGGM with a range of climate projections from different GCMs until 2100 and where available in a different run again until 2300. All the climate projections that are available on our cluster have been used. There are three categories projections available: CMIP6, CMIP6 GCMs from the bias-corrected CMIP6 ISIMIP3b GCMs <https://www.isimip.org/gettingstarted/isimip3b-bias-adjustment/>_, and CMIP5 GCMs. An overview of the amount of GCMs per scenario and the resulting global volume changes is given in the figures below. Feel free to make a selection that suites your purpose when using the data. | ||
Since OGGM v1.6.1, each version of OGGM now provides a set of global glacier | ||
projections realized with the default set-up of OGGM for that version. | ||
We provide an OGGM simulation for all climate models we are aware of and have | ||
access to. | ||
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A detailed description of the experimental-setup, information on the data | ||
structure, analysis of the data and a brief comparison to `Rounce et al. (2023) <https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abo1324>`_ | ||
together with the analysis jupyter notebooks can be found in the | ||
`OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files repository <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files>`_. | ||
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These projections use :ref:`eb-flowlines`, make use of the :ref:`dynamic-spinup`, | ||
the new "informed 3-step" :ref:`mb-calib` method for each glacier with geodetic data, | ||
and use the W5E5v2.0 climate dataset `(Lange et al., 2021) <https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.342217>`_ | ||
for the historical climate. | ||
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We have driven OGGM with a range of climate projections from different GCMs until 2100 and, | ||
where available, once more until 2300. All the climate projections products that are available | ||
on our cluster have been used. | ||
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There are three categories available: CMIP6, CMIP6 GCMs from the | ||
`bias-corrected ISIMIP3b GCMs <https://www.isimip.org/gettingstarted/isimip3b-bias-adjustment/>`_, | ||
and CMIP5 GCMs. An overview of the number of GCMs per scenario and the resulting | ||
global glacier volume changes is given in the figures below. | ||
Feel free to make a selection of GCMs that suits your purpose when using the data. | ||
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.. figure:: _static/global_glacier_volume_until2100_common_running_2100_oggm_v16.png | ||
:width: 80% | ||
:align: left | ||
:width: 100% | ||
:align: left | ||
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Global glacier volume from 2000 to 2100 relative to 2020 (in %) for the different CMIP options using the common running glaciers until 2100. The amount of GCMs per scenario is given in the legend. | ||
Global glacier volume from 2000 to 2100 relative to 2020 (in %) for the different CMIP options using the common running glaciers in all experiments until 2100. The amount of GCMs per scenario is given in the legend. | ||
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.. figure:: _static/global_glacier_volume_oggm_v16_2300.png | ||
:width: 60% | ||
:align: center | ||
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Global glacier volume in 2300 relative to 2020 (in %) using all available climate scenarios by using the common running glaciers until 2100 and 2300. The amount of GCMs per scenario is given in the xtick labels. | ||
Attention: the GCMs until 2300 do not represent very well the ensemble until 2100. For example, the CMIP6 GCMs until 2300 are rather hotter until 2100 compared to the entire CMIP6 GCM ensemble. | ||
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Currently we make these future CMIP forced global glacier simulations available in two different formats, raw and aggregated data. | ||
- Aggregated data is provided for both glacier volume and area evolution in csv-files, aggregated globally and for every RGI region separately. | ||
- Failing glaciers have been removed for the aggregation, a summary table is given here <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/notebooks/missing_glacier_area_stats.png>_ | ||
- A further explanation on the failing glaciers and aggregation in general can be found in the README <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/README.md>_ file. | ||
- files available on the `OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files repository <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/tree/main>`_ which is also linked to citable Zenodo repository. On the OGGM cluster, you can also access the data directly from `https://cluster.klima.uni-bremen.de/~oggm/oggm-standard-projections/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/ <https://cluster.klima.uni-bremen.de/~oggm/oggm-standard-projections/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/>`_. | ||
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- raw data is provided per-glacier for all interesting variables on netCDF files with 1000 glaciers each (e.g. monthly or annual runoff components, volume below sea-level, ... ). | ||
- `extended README <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/README_extended_per_glacier_files.md>`_ | ||
- files available from the OGGM cluster: | ||
- for OGGM v1.6.1, it is: `https://cluster.klima.uni-bremen.de/~oggm/oggm-standard-projections/oggm_v16/2023.3/ <https://cluster.klima.uni-bremen.de/~oggm/oggm-standard-projections/oggm_v16/2023.3/>`_ | ||
:width: 100% | ||
:align: left | ||
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The following jupyter notebooks give additional informations: | ||
- analysis of aggregated files is in `this notebook <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/notebooks/analyse_csv_files_1.6.1.ipynb>`_ | ||
- regional or global aggregation workflow and analysis of the common running glaciers that run for all glaciers until 2100 or until 2100 and 2300 is `here <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/notebooks/aggregate_csv_files_1.6.1.ipynb>`_ | ||
- comparison to Rounce et al., 2023 is `here <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/notebooks/compare_oggm_1.6.1_to_rounce_et_al_2023.ipynb>`_ | ||
- some example analysis of the additional provided data raw oggm-output is `here <https://nbviewer.org/urls/cluster.klima.uni-bremen.de/~oggm/oggm-standard-projections/analysis_notebooks/workflow_to_analyse_per_glacier_projection_files.ipynb?flush_cache=true>`_. | ||
Global glacier volume in 2300 relative to 2020 (in %) using all available climate scenarios for all common running glaciers until 2100 and 2300. The amount of GCMs per scenario is given in the xtick labels. Note that the GCMs until 2300 do not represent very well the ensemble until 2100. For example, the CMIP6 GCMs until 2300 are rather hotter until 2100 compared to the entire CMIP6 GCM ensemble. | ||
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For more information and access to the data, visit the | ||
`OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files>`_ | ||
reposity. | ||
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Data usage requirements | ||
----------------------- | ||
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When you use the aggregated or the raw per-glacier data, please cite the dataset via: | ||
When using the aggregated or the raw per-glacier data, please cite the dataset via: | ||
- TODO: zenodo-link ... | ||
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In addition, cite `OGGM <https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-909-2019>`_ and the CMIP option that you are using (references in this `README <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/README.md>`_). | ||
In addition, refer to `OGGM <https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-909-2019>`_ | ||
and the CMIP option that you are using | ||
(references in this `README <https://github.com/OGGM/oggm-standard-projections-csv-files/blob/main/README.md>`_). |
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