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add Monte-Carlo simulation support and parameter estimation #26

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7yl4r opened this issue Nov 14, 2013 · 1 comment
Open

add Monte-Carlo simulation support and parameter estimation #26

7yl4r opened this issue Nov 14, 2013 · 1 comment

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@7yl4r
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7yl4r commented Nov 14, 2013

Constants such as those in the agent 'personality' should support uncertainty values.

Example:

constant_low_estimate  = 1
constant_high_estimate = 10

A Monte-Carlo simulation can then compute many agents with a normal distribution of constant ranging between 1 and 10 to provide a nice range of expected behaviors.

A simple class for estimated constants should probably be formed and used for this purpose. This blog post may be useful.

@ljaimes
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ljaimes commented Nov 15, 2013

This Monte Carlo test sound so interesting, I see this test everywhere, in
fact, we might need it in our prediction work

On Thursday, November 14, 2013, Tylar wrote:

Constants such as those in the agent 'personality' should support
uncertainty values.

Example:

constant_low_estimate = 1constant_high_estimate = 10

A Monte-Carlo simulation can then compute many agents with a normal
distribution of constant ranging between 1 and 10 to provide a nice range
of expected behaviors.

A simple class for estimated constants should probably be formed and used
for this purpose.


Reply to this email directly or view it on GitHubhttps://github.com//issues/26
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