From fd6d5226b3595a657e0074f6673de3ed96272f60 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Lavinia Baumstark Date: Wed, 1 Nov 2023 17:07:36 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 1/3] change default budgets for policy scenarios --- config/scenario_config.csv | 24 +++++++++++++----------- 1 file changed, 13 insertions(+), 11 deletions(-) diff --git a/config/scenario_config.csv b/config/scenario_config.csv index 9d6d84513..742d4015c 100644 --- a/config/scenario_config.csv +++ b/config/scenario_config.csv @@ -6,50 +6,52 @@ SSP2EU-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;; SSP2EU-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP2EU-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP2EU-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU-PkBudg1150;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1150;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg1150: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # EU21 SSP2EU;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP2EU-EU21-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;15;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-calibration: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. SSP2EU-EU21-Base;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-Base: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. SSP2EU-EU21-NDC;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1150;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1150;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1150: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # H12 SSP1;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP1-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. SSP1-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. SSP1-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP1-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. -SSP1-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP1-PkBudg1150;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1150;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg1150: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP1-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP1-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # H12 SSP5;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP5-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. SSP5-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. SSP5-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP5-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. -SSP5-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2080;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP5-PkBudg1150;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1150;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;80;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg1150: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP5-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2080;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP5-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;80;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # H12 SDP_MC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SDP_MC-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_MC-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions." SDP_MC-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;off;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_MC-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions." SDP_MC-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_MC-NPi;;"SDP_MC-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020." SDP_MC-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_MC-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies." -SDP_MC-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2045;;9;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;feelhpb 1.05, fehob 1.75, feheb 0.1;feh2_otherInd 1.04, feelhth_otherInd 0.4, feh2_cement 2.0, feelhth_chemicals 1.3, feh2_chemicals 1.04;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_MC-NPi;;"SDP_MC-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century." +SDP_MC-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2045;;9;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;feelhpb 1.05, fehob 1.75, feheb 0.1;feh2_otherInd 1.04, feelhth_otherInd 0.4, feh2_cement 2.0, feelhth_chemicals 1.3, feh2_chemicals 1.04;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_MC-NPi;;"SDP_MC-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century." # H12 SDP_EI;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SDP_EI-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.14, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;300;;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_EI-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Economy-driven innovation"": tech & market driven - globalized word - high-growth." SDP_EI-Base;0;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;GLO 0.14, EUR_regi 0.15;off;2;1.025;1.75;300;;2;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_EI-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Economy-driven innovation"": tech & market driven - globalized word - high-growth." SDP_EI-NDC;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.14, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;300;;2;;;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_EI-NPi;;"SDP_EI-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Economy-driven innovation"": tech & market driven - globalized word - high-growth. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020." SDP_EI-NPi;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.14, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;300;;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_EI-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario following the narrative of ""Economy-driven innovation"": tech & market driven - globalized word - high-growth. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies." -SDP_EI-PkBudg500;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2045;;9;GLO 0.14, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;300;;2;feelhpb 1.05, fehob 1.75, feheb 0.35;feh2_otherInd 1.05, feelhth_otherInd 0.43, feh2_cement 2.2, feelhth_chemicals 1.4, feh2_chemicals 1.05;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_EI-NPi;;"SDP_EI-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario following the narrative of ""Economy-driven innovation"": tech & market driven - globalized word - high-growth. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century." +SDP_EI-PkBudg650;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2045;;9;GLO 0.14, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;300;;2;feelhpb 1.05, fehob 1.75, feheb 0.35;feh2_otherInd 1.05, feelhth_otherInd 0.43, feh2_cement 2.2, feelhth_chemicals 1.4, feh2_chemicals 1.05;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;gdp_SDP_EI;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_EI-NPi;;"SDP_EI-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario following the narrative of ""Economy-driven innovation"": tech & market driven - globalized word - high-growth. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century." # H12 SDP_RC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SDP_RC-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;2060;9;;;4;1.025;2;100;5;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2005;;;;;"SDP_RC-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Resilient communities"": human well-being - behavioural change - local & less tech-driven." SDP_RC-Base;0;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;2060;;;off;4;1.025;2;100;5;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2005;;;;;"SDP_RC-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Resilient communities"": human well-being - behavioural change - local & less tech-driven." SDP_RC-NDC;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;2060;9;;;4;1.025;2;100;5;;;;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_RC-NPi;;"SDP_RC-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Resilient communities"": human well-being - behavioural change - local & less tech-driven. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020." SDP_RC-NPi;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;2060;9;;;4;1.025;2;100;5;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2005;;;;;"SDP_RC-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Resilient communities"": human well-being - behavioural change - local & less tech-driven. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies." -SDP_RC-PkBudg500;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2045;2060;9;;;4;1.025;2;100;5;;feelhpb 1.05, fehob 1.75, feheb 0.35;feh2_otherInd 1.05, feelhth_otherInd 0.43, feh2_cement 2.2, feelhth_chemicals 1.4, feh2_chemicals 1.05;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_RC-NPi;;"SDP_RC-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Resilient communities"": human well-being - behavioural change - local & less tech-driven. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century." +SDP_RC-PkBudg650;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2045;2060;9;;;4;1.025;2;100;5;;feelhpb 1.05, fehob 1.75, feheb 0.35;feh2_otherInd 1.05, feelhth_otherInd 0.43, feh2_cement 2.2, feelhth_chemicals 1.4, feh2_chemicals 1.05;NDCplus;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;gdp_SDP_RC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SDP_RC-NPi;;"SDP_RC-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Resilient communities"": human well-being - behavioural change - local & less tech-driven. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century." # H12 SSP2 lowEnergy;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU_lowEn-calibration: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. SSP2EU_lowEn-Base;0;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU_lowEn-Base: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. SSP2EU_lowEn-NDC;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century.This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. -SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg500;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1150;0;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1150;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1150: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg650;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050;0;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. From a747047dd10a304ea8087e09be68202065d25dd2 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Lavinia Baumstark Date: Thu, 2 Nov 2023 17:09:45 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 2/3] adjust scenario description --- config/scenario_config.csv | 12 ++++++------ 1 file changed, 6 insertions(+), 6 deletions(-) diff --git a/config/scenario_config.csv b/config/scenario_config.csv index 742d4015c..7c4eec7a9 100644 --- a/config/scenario_config.csv +++ b/config/scenario_config.csv @@ -5,9 +5,9 @@ SSP2EU-NPi-calibrate;calibrate,AMT;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;; SSP2EU-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-Base: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. SSP2EU-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP2EU-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. -SSP2EU-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be well belowwell below 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. SSP2EU-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # EU21 SSP2EU;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP2EU-EU21-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;15;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-calibration: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. SSP2EU-EU21-Base;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-Base: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. @@ -15,21 +15,21 @@ SSP2EU-EU21-NDC;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramappin SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # H12 SSP1;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP1-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. SSP1-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. SSP1-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP1-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP1-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP1-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP1-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # H12 SSP5;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP5-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. SSP5-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. SSP5-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP5-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP5-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2080;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP5-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;80;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP5-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;80;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. # H12 SDP_MC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SDP_MC-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_MC-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions." SDP_MC-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;off;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_MC-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions." @@ -54,4 +54,4 @@ SSP2EU_lowEn-Base;0;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;g SSP2EU_lowEn-NDC;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century.This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg650;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050;0;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 2??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050;0;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. From 578ce6bb825da5a7f27e7a7fde74e1aad0599e9a Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Lavinia Baumstark Date: Thu, 2 Nov 2023 17:26:41 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 3/3] adjust scenario description --- config/scenario_config.csv | 10 +++++----- 1 file changed, 5 insertions(+), 5 deletions(-) diff --git a/config/scenario_config.csv b/config/scenario_config.csv index 7c4eec7a9..b74cfdbe0 100644 --- a/config/scenario_config.csv +++ b/config/scenario_config.csv @@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ SSP2EU-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regi SSP2EU-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP2EU-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be well belowwell below 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. SSP2EU-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU-NPi;;SSP2EU-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1150 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a well below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios during the whole century. # EU21 SSP2EU;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP2EU-EU21-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;15;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-calibration: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. SSP2EU-EU21-Base;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-Base: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. @@ -15,21 +15,21 @@ SSP2EU-EU21-NDC;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramappin SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;500;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 500 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg500;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;./config/regionmapping_21_EU11.csv;./config/extramapping_EU27.csv;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;SSP2EU-EU21-NPi;;SSP2EU-EU21-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a well below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios during the whole century. # H12 SSP1;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP1-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. SSP1-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. SSP1-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP1-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP1-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP1-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP1-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP1-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;2;1.025;1.75;;2;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;gdp_SSP1;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SSP1;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;SSP1;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP1-NPi;;SSP1-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 called Sustainability. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a well below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios during the whole century. # H12 SSP5;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SSP5-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. SSP5-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. SSP5-NDC;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century. This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP5-NPi;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;3;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP5-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP5-PkBudg650;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;150;2080;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP5-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;80;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP5-PkBudg1050;1,AMT;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;80;2100;;9;;;1;;1.75;;3;2;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;gdp_SSP5;highOil;highGas;highCoal;3;6;4;;SSP5;0.5;1;forcing_SSP5;SSP5;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP5-NPi;;SSP5-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5 called Fossil-Fueled Development. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a wel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios during the whole century. # H12 SDP_MC;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; SDP_MC-NPi-calibrate;calibrate;calibrate;;14;;;rcp45;;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;3;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_MC-calibration: This baseline calibration scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions." SDP_MC-Base;1,AMT;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;GLO 0.12, EUR_regi 0.15;off;2;1.025;1.75;152;2;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;pop_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;gdp_SDP_MC;lowOil;lowGas;lowCoal;2;;4;;SDP;0.5;1;forcing_SSP1;MFR;heat;Mix4;2005;;;;;"SDP_MC-Base: This baseline scenario follows the Sustainable Development Pathway scenario following the narrative of ""Managing the global commons"": strong global institutions - efficient technological solutions." @@ -54,4 +54,4 @@ SSP2EU_lowEn-Base;0;;;;;;;;;0;;;2100;;;;off;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;g SSP2EU_lowEn-NDC;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;globallyOptimal;0;NDC;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;2020.2030.EUR_regi.all.year.netGHG_LULUCFGrassi 2.450;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix2;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-NDC: This Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The NDC includes all pledged policies even if not yet implemented. It assumes that the moderate and heterogeneous climate ambition reflected in the NDCs at the begining of 2021 continues over the 21st century.This scenario serves as reference for all other policy scenarios and The NPi scenario until 2020. SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;0;;;;;;rcp45;3;;0;NPi;1;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NPi2018;regiCarbonPrice;;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;3;;;;;;heat;Mix1;2005;;;;;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi: This National Policies Implemented (Npi) scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The NPi is identical to the NDC scenario until 2020 but assumes that policies fail to achieve NDC targets in 2030. Instead, carbon prices are assumed to grow and converge more slowly, leading to emissions trajectories in line with bottom-up studies on the effect of currently implemented policies. SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg650;0;;;;;;rcp20;9;globallyOptimal;650;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;100;2080;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix4;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg650: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 650 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a 1.5??C scenario, peak warming is allowed to be at or slightly above 1.5??C, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 1.5??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. -SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050;0;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a weel below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios by the end of the century. +SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050;0;;;;;;rcp26;9;globallyOptimal;1050;diffCurvPhaseIn2Lin;60;2100;;9;;;;;;;;;;;NDC;regiCarbonPrice;2030.EUR_regi.tax.t.FE_wo_b_wo_n_e.all 1.2809;;on;on;EUR_regi, NEU_regi;;;gdp_SSP2_lowEn;;;;;;;;;;;;;heat;Mix3;2025;;SSP2EU-NPi;SSP2EU_lowEn-NPi;;SSP2EU_lowEn-PkBudg1050: This climate policy scenario follows the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 called Middle of the Road. This scenario also assumes low energy demand trajectories. The stylized climate policy scenario assumes a peak budget of 1050 Gt?CO2 on total CO2 emissions from 2015 to 2100. This is a well below 2??C scenario, at median climate sensitivity but returns to values below 2??C in at least 67?% of scenarios during the whole century.