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VladKochetov007 committed Mar 26, 2022
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57 changes: 56 additions & 1 deletion docs/docs/quick_trade/tuner/avoid_overfitting/README.md
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# avoid_overfitting
This part of qucik_trade is needed to minimize overfitting.
This part of quick_trade is needed to minimize overfitting.

## What is overfitting?

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> -[investopedia](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/overfitting.asp)
### overfitting problem-solving methods implemented in quick trade:
##### WalkForward analysis (recommended):
The bottom line is that we check the robustness of the strategy
settings that we received during the optimization.

> What is walk-forward optimisation? Walk forward optimisation
> is a process for testing a trading strategy by finding its optimal
> trading parameters in a certain time period (called the in-sample
> or training data) and checking the performance of those parameters
> in the following time period (called the out-of-sample or testing data).
>
> -[algotrading101](https://algotrading101.com/learn/walk-forward-optimization/)
![WFA-visualization](https://i.stack.imgur.com/IUWuO.gif)

![WFA-visualization-2](https://www.tradelikeamachine.com/images/user-guide/interpreting-results/all-walk-forward-stages-in-wfa.png)

```python
from quick_trade.tuner.avoid_overfitting import WalkForward
from quick_trade.trading_sys import ExampleStrategies
from quick_trade.tuner import Arange
from quick_trade.brokers import TradingClient

from quick_trade.plots import BasePlotlyGraph, make_figure

config = {
'strategy_bollinger_breakout':
[
{
'plot': False,
'window': Arange(10, 200, 20),
'window_dev': 1
}
]
}

graph = BasePlotlyGraph(make_figure(700, 1400))

client = TradingClient()
walkforward_optimizer = WalkForward(client=client)

walkforward_optimizer.run_analysis('ETH/USDT',
'30m',
config=config,
trader_instance=ExampleStrategies,
sort_by='profit/deviation ratio',
commission=0.075)


graph.plot_line(line=walkforward_optimizer.equity(),
name='walk-forward analysis',
width=2.5,
color='white')
graph.log_y()
graph.show()
```
##### by volatility:
1. Group currency pairs by volatility
2. Within the group, we optimize the strategy parameters. simultaneously on all pairs (built-in cross-testing)
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